-------- "This is the time for action not only words, use your God given gifts to develop this country, dont be afraid to speak up, and feel PROUD THAT U R EGYPTIAN." -------- Mohaly, Feb 2011

Friday, February 4, 2011

749) Gom3et El Bedaya !

Before you read this article, please note that.I am one of those who have been writing on the blog and facebook for a long time regarding reformation in Egypt. I have been a member in many reformation groups on facebook, and have taken part in some of the last week protests and still see protest as a bargaining power. Plz read post 748.

In these very hard days, we need to stop for a minute and think together. This Regime is a lousy one, and proved to be really weak one. Actually the last thing I'd care about is Muabark himself, I do care about OUR FUTURE on the short and long term. I don't even care about who will come as much as HOW he will come.

The regime, and us have solid stand, while the majority of the people are in the middle. The one who will be able to take them on his side will eventually win... We need to change our strategy and tactics when we find the regime winning significant number of the masses.

Although we haven't won the whole war against the old system and anti-reformists, but we won some battles so far, let's explore it together:
- Leading the power of the street, and obliging the regime to do many changes in 1 week that it didn't do in the last 30 years (even it is on the tactical level) which is a great insurance and power point if we found the regime is fooling us.
- Ensuring the good relations and support with the Army (the real insurance of what the regime has promised).
- Having started a real and public dialogue with the current regime to move into a new phase with much better people and figures (with Ahmed Shafiq & Omar Soliman).
- Having a public apology for the first time since Mubarak came to power (today by the PM).
- Having a reputable "Wisdom Committee" by Egyptian figures who can play a great role in supporting and mentoring the negotiations. http://www.shabab-masr.com/
- Having Muabark out in September (potentially).
- Potential Trials for the traitors and corrupted people.
- Potential massive change in the Parliament.
- Changing some urgent articles in the constitution.
- Gaining National & International Respect and Support.
- Last and not least, changing the culture of the Egyptians and awaking all the good traits that were almost gone, and those who tasted it can't allow going back to dirt.

What did we are still missing: (some strategic ones THAT we have to negotiate vigorously this week)
- Cancelling the Emergency law (biggest miss so far and should be no.1 in negotiations).
- Mubarak resigning from the presidency of NPD (should be no.2 in negotiation, this will kill the NDP).
- Cancelling the last elections and calling for a new parliament (should be no.3 in negotiation).
- Dropping the whole Constitution and having a new one (can be postponed to be right after the presidential elections as long as there are open reforms with supervised referendums in the current one).
- Having Mubarak out now (the constitutional dilemma!).

As I said in my last article, this is the time for negotiation, and I was asking to continue the protests while negotiating.. there are MANY people getting into the scene and trying to jump over the revolution...and same thing happening from people inside the regime as well. I think -I may be wrong- but again I THINK we need to change tactics, and go protesting in different places -that don't have to be in Tahrir- while negotiating during the coming days. We need to WIN THIS REVOLUTION.

It is not about the security, daily life, and such stuff, those who are looking for that are short term thinkers..it is about building on what we gained to continue our marsh for democracy, there is no link between Tahrir protests and going back to work as they claim"They who can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety, deserve neither liberty nor safety." - Benjamin Franklin in 1818

I have studied Strategic Studies, I am teaching Strategic Management, and I am trying as much as I can to have a bird view....

  • I can say that with all the dangers that may be or not be planned by the regime, we have to focus now on negotiation and make them (whomever they are; regime, ekhwan, or others) miss the chance to ruin our revolution....... 
  • We just have to keep alert and active during the coming days of negotiations, and then go back if nothing happens or if they didn't ensure what will be agreed upon in public. We need either to grow Trust with the new VP & government, or lose it forever. 
  • They have to be worried all the time.. we cant just leave him till September, he must know that we can come again on ANY Friday if he is not committed to what they promised.

When this revolution started it had many aims, and we need to keep focusing on them and only them. Let's have this as GOM3ET EL BEDAYA (Friday of Starting a new phase in the Egyptian History). Mafeesh Thawra Belta2seet.

Again I may be wrong, this is my "Ijtihad"... If we have to continue going to the protests today anyway, PLEASE make sure that everyone in the protest is clean as we did on Tuesday. We can't afford further clashes, we really can't.

To all Muslims & Christian guys and girls: please go to the mosques & churches today at noon and let's pray together at the same time for our beloved Country asking God to do the best for the country and its people.

May God bless us, and help us to pass these critical days and months.


P.S. BTW Wezaret El 2elam lazem tetnesef.


ahmad said...

wooooow,great article, we need people like you in the government.

Sally Orfy said...

Mohaly, what is "Emergency Law"? I have to ask because I really have no idea about it.

Mohaly said...

kanoon el taware2

Anonymous said...

plz read it

Sally Orfy said...

Thanks Anonymous for the link.

Mohaly, why do you think people want to cancel it?

sunshine said...

NO ONE is listening!!!! Im not an expert like urself but this is the LOGIC RATIONAL thinking that I have been calling for since Tuesday; WE HAVE DONE A GREAT PART WITH THE PROTESTS - THE POWER - NOW ITS TIME FOR NEGOTIATION - THE BRAIN! IT IS A GOD DAMN FISHY POLITICS GAME THAT NEEDS TO BBE PLAYED RIGHT!

why are those people down there in Ta7rir?? are those the same wise men of the 25th Jan protests??! they are INSISTING on staying till they DIE n I heard one of them telling me this!

Mohaly said...

yanhar abyad ya Sally!
It is a killing law, it can cancel any gain we make.

Princess said...

Mohaly...Exactly this's what we need right now a rational voice to talk ...
few weeks ago at “El Kedisien ” incident we’re united as “Muslims-Christians” however we’re having two different beliefs of religions but we said we’re EGYPTIANS so what about when we’re now all having the same belief & dream EGYPT?!!!
So I think our country needs some patient special we won alot at the last few days Allah creates the universe in 6 days to show us that things comes gradually...
we need some patience trying to re build trust & see what's gonna happen& also in order not to eat the bait with those who want all of us to fall or want to achieve their personal benefits through us...that's why we need to pause to observe then to react ...we've delivered our message got a slight hope of response & yes it's the start & If nothing gonna happened if we got fooled (however this's the 1st time i doubt this) we're still there could start again but Now I believe that we could no more ask for civilization and development on this sabotage &blood now...
Either people are against or with now should all possess our minds,keeps emotions out & don't make tomorrow a massacre!!!
we've to face conspiracies or otherwise the worst is yet to come ...As the famous quote says "The road to hell is paved with good intentions” bgd yarab 3adi bokra 3la 5ier & save our country
l2n l a5wan 5las kaman abtdo yftro!!!

as 4 wazir l e3lam TB3N totally agree.

Sally Orfy said...

Asl ana makontesh a3raf 2anon el taware2 da eh we makontesh 3arfa homa masken feh we metabeten keda leh...

rehaboz said...

yslam fomak

ahmed said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Ahmed Yamany said...

great article ya doc w i am with u in everything u said..

even i have some comments about what happened but it is not its time to discuss it now..as u said today is Gom3et el bedaya..hope it pass well with no blood cause it is really enough like that..

and let the new government do what they promised to do..

and also NOW WE should do our role in making a better future for us and for our childs that every one do his part in his life - home - district - work and in any place we can change in it..cause our country deserve more than it places now..

لا يغير الله ما بقوم حتى يغيروا ما بأنفسهم

God Bless Egypt

Nouna said...

That was valuable and reasonable as well.. and that's not something new to say, when it comes to Strategic you are the best to influence people with your professional skill.

Whatever happens will be good. or a least better than the past 30 years. I am optimist and have a great belief that things will END well in-sha2-Allah. The beginning was the hardest part, all what we need now is having the ability to bear long waiting (weeks, months, possibly years) and anything unpleasant (our sad loss; persons, security, things, money) calmly without complaining le2eno every revolution lazem haykoun leha khasayer, elmohem the result.

I'd like to share with you a quote that I always liked "If you think you are beaten, you are. If you think you dare not, you don't. If you'd like to win, but you think you can't, it's almost a cinch you won't. Life's battles don't always go to the stronger or faster one; but soon or late the one who wins is the one who thinks he can".

May Allah bless Egypt & Egyptians and make everything turn to the best soon in-sha2-Allah.

Mohaly said...

Thank You Nouna. Ya Rab e7faz baladna. I am optimistic too, but I dont wanna see any more Egyptian blood shed.

Mohaly said...

Today's protests proved how civilized the protesters still are, and showed who are the real savages.

Anonymous said...

Now am not sure what to believe, the situation is very confusing and can bear all kind of analysis. From one side the country is in a total economical and security chaos and on the other side these young people willing to change cannot step back and loose all what they have accomplished! No one can predict what this whole situation will generate at its end if ended! Will the government keep their promises about reformation, will people learn from all this and change themselves and their passive attitudes when it comes to being really active citizens instead of staying in front of their televisions watching these endless and sometimes ridiculous talk shows and TV programs? will people wake up and look for the morals that are put on the shelves and used only when going to a party? many questions are arising now! please stop, breath and think together how can we go out of this situation without harming Egypt!

Mohaly said...

Hayat: The main Crisis is it is a Crisis of TRUST.

It is walahi confusing even for experienced people.

Sally Orfy said...

From my point of view it is impossible to find the truth in such situation.

By the way you have a nice name Hayat, which I wish to Egypt, to get back its (Hayat)...

Mohaly said...

and finally Mubarak is out from the NDP.

Mohaly said...

Tahrir ... you were right...DONT EVER LEAVE TAHRIR.

يَا أَيُّهَا الَّذِينَ آمَنُواْ اصْبِرُواْ وَصَابِرُواْ وَرَابِطُواْ وَاتَّقُواْ اللّهَ لَعَلَّكُمْ تُفْلِحُونَ

Nouna said...

"إِذْ يُوحِي رَبُّكَ إِلَى الْمَلآئِكَةِ أَنِّي مَعَكُمْ فَثَبِّتُواْ الَّذِينَ آمَنُواْ"